Rabu, 07 November 2012

Analysis of Astra International (ASII) Company Stock, Business Risk and Business Portfolio



Astra International (ASII)

      Site: www.astra.co.id
      Sector: MISCELLANEOUS INDUSTRY
      SubSector: AUTOMOTIVE AND COMPONENTS
     PT Astra International Tbk (ASII) is an investment holding company with interests in the automotive business, financial services, heavy equipment, agribusiness, information technology and infrastructure. Astra was established initially as a trading company based in Jakarta in 1957, Astra continues to grow into one of the leading company groups in Indonesia with solid support of internationally renowned strategic partners Since 1990 the Company has been listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, the company name was correspondingly changed to PT Astra International Tbk. Astra manages six core businesses, namely Automotive, Financial Services, Heavy Equipment and Mining, Agribusiness, Infrastructure and Logistics, and Information Technology.
MOTTO: Per Aspera Ad Astra
AIM: Prosper with the Nation
ASTRA PHILOSOPHY:
• To be an Asset to the Nation
• To Provide the Best Service to Our Customers
• To Respect Individuals and Promote Teamwork
• To Continually Strive for Excellence
VISION:
• To be one of the best managed corporations in Asia Pacific with an emphasis on sustainable growth by building competence through people development, solid financial structure, customer satisfaction and efficiency
• To be a socially responsible corporation and to be environmentally friendly 
ANALYSIS



ASII
JKSE
Highest
0.1002747
0.0727
                                           
26/05/2010
26/05/2010
Lowest
-0.0944575
-0.0888

22/09/2011
22/09/2011
average return
0.0014171
0.0008
Stdev
0.0211401
0.0126
CV
14.917426
15.0955



     There are many factors that influence the stock fluctuation. It can be caused by the economic, political, and societal issues that will cause the market to change. Such as inflation ,earnings ,oil/energy prices ,war , and fraud. Some of these factor have serious long-term implications, while others may only cause temporary or short term implication. The market cannot stand surprises and when there is the chance that something may change, it will give impact to the market behaviour.
       Based on the graph, the highest point is placed at 26th may 2010, this were happened resulted to the fluctuation of crude oil price. On may 2010, the crude oil price keep declining causes the crude oil traders became pessimistic about the global situation. And this situation give a big impact on the stock market as stock market and oil price works in opposite direction, with the decreasing of oil price that were happened,it leads to the increasing of the return of stock market.
      Based on graph, the lowest point of JKSE and ASII are the same which is at 22nd September 2011. This market conditions in 2011 are similar to what happened in 2008, The differences is what happened on 2008 were affected by the global financial crisis while this bottom point at september 2011 happened because of an ongoing financial crisis resulted from the inability of countries in particular European country to repay its debt, thus becoming a widespread issue and global nature. Which also known as the european sovereign debt crisis or usually referred as Eurozone crisis. 
       Based on the calculation using slope function in excel and also regression analysis, I got the same Beta which is 1,284671. As the definition stated that Beta shows measurement of a stock's volatility in relation to the rest of the market. with beta 1.28 means if the market return is change by 1 than the stock would change by 1.28, this condition can be seen through the graph of stock and market return above. And because of the beta of Astra International is greater than 1 it means that ASII can be classified as aggressive stock.



Main Factors Effect Astra International Business Risk:
- financial risk
- Commodity Price Risk
- Risk of Supply and Services Procurement
- franchise agreements risk
- Disaster Risk 

BCG MATRIX



Selasa, 04 September 2012

Risk of local company


Otaku Hobbyshop


Address : Jl. Langensari 34, Yogyakarta
Phone number : 9278800
Owner’s name : Joseph Ronny Nugroho
Operation time: everyday at 9:30 am- 9:30 pm and 
                        Monday-Sunday : 9:30 am -3:30 


     Otaku Hobbyshop was established since 16th May 2006. Otaku Hobbyshop is one of the well known shop for otaku goods in Yogyakarta (Otaku is a japanese termed who refers to people with obsessive interest especially into comic, cartoon, or japanese video games). This company was originated formed because of the owner has a hobby to collects toys and he was fad to try selling it. Which eventually became a business that still runs to this day. 

Otaku Hobbyshop sell products such as:
-        Plastic model,
-        Action figure
-        shirts,
-        merchandise,
-        magazine,
-        etc.
   And also have a side business which is book (comic/magazine) rental 

   RISK OF THE BUSINESS
.     Risk itself can be defined as any issue that impacts an institution’s ability to meet its objectives. Based on the interview with the owner the risk faced by otaku hobbyshop are:

  A.    Types of Risk
     - hazard risk or insurable risk:
          * physical hazards: disasters that happened can cause the company to suffer loss
          * Moral hazards: the chance of loss occurs because of the dishonesty tendencies from  his employee (thievery)
     - financial risk: unsold goods, exchange rates
     - operational risk: delayed at delivery services, errors
     - strategic risk: competitors, trends
  
 B.    Sources of Risk
- physical environment
- economic environment
- social environment
- operational environment

 C.    Manage It’s Risk
     And how the company deal with its risk, Otaku Hobbyshop in order to manage their overall risk, they applied couples of strategy, such as keep promoting their business through facebook.  And also when facing with canceled order from the customer also unsold products, the company give discounts to the customers. And also to deal with the risk, the company has been preventing thievery by doing stock opname or inventory check. 

CONCLUSION

Every company facing many different kinds of risk. And in order for the company meet it’s objective, it will be smarter to anticipate their risk by designing and implement risk management tools and  procedures to their company in order to meet its business objectives.  


Jumat, 24 Agustus 2012

About me ♡



Hello guys~  For all of you who visit my blog, my name is Yeffi Hadi Winata, nice to meet you ~.
You might think I'm a male from my name, but as you can see I'm a girl. I was born on the 6th of July. I'm just an ordinary college student at Atma Jaya Yogyakarta University. 
There are many things that I like♡♡♡. Sherlock Holmes is my favorite fictional character. I love animals especially pandas because they are so cute and fuzzy, I like listening to the music and reading comics, baseball, also I like watching movies. My bad habit is I procrastinate too much and usually do my assignments when it meets the deadline. My hobby is drawing and bluntly speaking I don't like studying, so I usually draw things in my notes and it makes studying less boring. It's just my way to enjoy studying. Hope you guys find your own way to enjoy your study♡


There are two basic motivating forces: fear and love. When we are afraid, we pull back from life. When we are in love, we open to all that life has to offer with passion, excitement, and acceptance. We need to learn to love ourselves first, in all our glory and our imperfections. If we cannot love ourselves, we cannot fully open to our ability to love others or our potential to create. Evolution and all hopes for a better world rest in the fearlessness and open-hearted vision of people who embrace life.

~ John Lennon ~



The reason I take Risk Management

In my 5th semester I had to decide to take marketing or finance concentration. I was so confused at first and considering I'm not really good at memorizing and prefer to do calculation, I choose finance instead. And also because of my father and mother who suggested and supported me to take this course. That's why I'm taking risk management because I believe this subject will help me in the future especially when I start to write my thesis.